===== Answer ===== 2/3 Number the black cards 1-3. The black cards numbered 1 and 2 are in pile together, and card number 3 is in the pile with the red card. You know that your pile has one black card on top, so the possible combinations are | B1 | B2 | B3 | | B2 | B1 | R | With three total outcomes, two of them have a black card on bottom. The probability of the bottom card being black is 2/3.